Friday, January 25, 2008

A Nightmare Scenario for the Democrats

Fast forward to July 2008. By now, Hillary Clinton has more than enough delegates to win the Democratic Party's nomination for President, but she's not as well-liked as one would hope. There's another candidate who didn't get as many delegates and super delegates as Hillary, but did manage to fire up the Democrat base in a way few have seen since Bill Clinton: Barack Obama.

This poses an interesting question for Democrats. Do you go with who won the delegate count, or do you go with who won the popular vote?

This is a bad situation for the Democrats on two fronts. First, the fight that will ensue would be like a miniature Election 2000 with people picking sides and squabbling over details. Although it would be funny to watch Democrats who think Gore won because he won the popular vote arguing against Barack Obama winning the nomination for the same reason, it would ruin the Democratic Party as we know it.

The second front has to do with minorities and how Democrats react to them. There are a lot of white Democrats who will do anything African-Americans want out of a sense of "white guilt" where they feel guilty about being white and about what whites have done to African-Americans over the years. And what issue has started to blow up within Democratic Party ranks this election season? Race.

On the other hand, Democrats have also been proud that they've championed women's issues. They've long said that women are just as capable as men to handle big decisions. In fact, some have gone so far as to say it's past time for America to have a female President. Since Hillary Clinton is the only woman in the race right now, that puts her in a good position if the Democrats' logic on women holds up.

This sets up a problematic decision for Democrats: support Hillary getting the nomination and be seen as racist, or support Obama getting the nomination and be seen as anti-woman. A no-win situation no matter how you spin it.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

An Iraqi police chief and two other officers were killed by a suicide bomber in Mosul today as they were touring the wreckage of another blast which killed 34 people.
Brigadier General Saleh Mohammed Hassan, the director of police for Ninevah province, was assassinated by a man wearing an explosives vest under an Iraqi police uniform. A US soldier and an Iraqi soldier were also wounded.

The ambush happened at the scene of yesterday's explosion in a block of flats, which occurred as police were investigating a tip-off that weapons were being stored in the building. More bodies were recovered from the rubble today, taking the death toll to 34. The number of wounded has been put at 224.

Rescuers were looking for survivors amongst the debris of yesterday's blast when this morning's attack occurred. Hassan was rushed from the scene but died later in hospital.