Friday, December 14, 2007

The Shape of Things to Come?

A year ago, Democrats were confident to the point of cockiness with their election wins. They had control of the House and functional control of the Senate, and they were ready to make a difference. It was going to be a new day in American politics.

With their first year in the Congressional driver's seat almost over, things are not looking good for last year's victors. The Washington Post is reporting that Congressional Democrat leaders are pointing fingers at one another about who's to blame for the collapse of the Democrats' plans. The House is blaming the Senate, the Senate is blaming the House, and everyone's blaming the Republicans. A real change in leadership there.

The lack of progress in Congress is translating into declining approval ratings. Bush may not be lighting things up in the approval ratings, but when you consider Congress has dropped from around the mid-thirty percent range to barely sneaking over 20%, and close to 10% in some polls, it's clear the public may be regretting their Election 2006 decisions. Big talk with little action after the fact doesn't sit well with people. The Democrats promised change and honesty, and they delivered...pointless show investigations and naming post offices. Not a good way to leave a lasting positive impression on history.

After the 2006 elections, Democrats, their followers, and pundits all started talking about the country moving to the left. They've had a chance to pick up some seats here and there, but there were more than a few elections that should give the Democrats a reason to be concerned. One was the governorship of Louisiana. The public may not be that keen on Republicans, but Bobby Jindahl, a young Republican, won the gubernatorial election in what proved to be somewhat shocking to Democrats and their allies, given the electoral makeup in Louisiana. But it really wasn't as shocking as some might think. After the disasterous reign of Kathleen Blanco during Hurricane Katrina, the very way Democrats swept into control of Congress came back to bite them.

But one gubernatorial election does not a trend make, right? Not so fast. This past Tuesday, Republicans ran and won elections for open seats in Ohio and Virginia. Some have tried to write it off as a fait accompli due to the makeup of those respective districts, but if the country truly did distrust Republicans in positions of power, the Democrats should have taken those seats. The fact they didn't should be a matter of concern.

Then, there's the Democrats running for President right now. I'm going to torque off supporters of Mike Gravel and Dennis Kucinich, but there are only three main candidates for the Democrats: Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, and John Edwards. Clinton is polarizing and has been looking more like Wile E. Coyote than a President. Obama has a good heart, but I don't see him convincing enough people that he's ready for the Oval Office. Edwards has been lagging behind Hillary and Obama and hasn't been able to put together a strong message to show how he'd be different from his two main rivals. The Republicans may not be much better in this regard, but remember it's the Democrats who have to take back the White House. All the Republicans have to do is retain it, which may be easier than people think.

With Code Pink targeting Hillary for her support of the Iraq War, Cindy Sheehan mounting a campaign against Nancy Pelosi, and the fringe left starting to make noise to get Democrats to dance to their tune, the Democrats are facing problems from their left flank. But to appease their left flank, they risk alienating their right flank, which helped them take control of Congress in 2006. This political schitzophrenia may be the very thing that keeps the Democrats out of the White House in 2008.

Put simply, the ground is being laid for Election 2008 right now. The Democrats are hoping to ride the Election 2006 results into further success, but the cards aren't there for it to happen right now unless the Democrats take some actions to address the multiple problems they face. Unless they do, they'll fiddle while their 2008 hopes burn.

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NEAR MUQDADIYA - Sixteen dead bodies were found on Thursday in a ditch in the a town north of Baghdad in Iraq's most violent province Diyala, police said. Twelve had been beheaded.

BAGHDAD - Gunmen attacked the dean of Baghdad's University of Technology as he drove in northern Baghdad, wounding him seriously. His daughter was also hurt, police said.

HAWIJA - A body with gunshot wounds was found inside an unfinished house in central Hawija, 70 km (45 miles) southwest of Kirkuk, police said.

BAGHDAD - Five bodies were found in different districts in Baghdad, on Wednesday, police said.

SAMARRA - Iraqi police killed five gunmen believed to be Arabs from foreign countries on Wednesday in eastern Samarra, 60 miles north of Baghdad, police said.

NEAR BAGHDAD - A suspected member of al Qaeda was killed by U.S. forces on Monday during a gunbattle near Adwaniya, 12 miles Southeast of Baghdad, the U.S. military said.

BAGHDAD - Gunmen killed a contractor working with U.S. forces in a drive-by shooting in Mansour district of western Baghdad, police said.

HIT - A suicide car bomb targeted the convoy of the mayor of Hit, a town in the western province of Anbar, killing two of his bodyguards and wounding six others including three civilians on Wednesday, police said.

BAGHDAD - Three bombs overnight targeted shops selling alcohol in Baghdad. The shops were damaged but there were no casualties reported, police said.

BAGHDAD - The Iraqi army killed one gunman and detained 26 suspects over last 24 hours in Iraq, the Defence ministry said.

DOUR - Police found the bodies of a father and son riddled with bullets in the town of Dour, 175 km (110 miles) north of Baghdad, near Tikrit. Police said the body of a policeman was also found in the town on Wednesday, shot in the head.