Tuesday, November 13, 2007

Why the Dems May Be Doomed in 2008

Another Republican, this time Dick Armey, came out this week and painted a rosy picture for Hillary Clinton. Armey joins a growing list of Republicans and conservatives who say Hillary winning the Presidency is a fait accompli. But, I have to wonder if these people are seeing the whole picture. The Democrats are in a weakened state, one that the Republicans can exploit if they're smart enough.

Here are the problems that plague the Democrats right now.

1) Hillary as a front runner is too polarizing. There are very few undecided folks when it comes to Hillary Clinton. Most people love her or hate her. And she's had over a decade on the national scene to reach as many people as possible. Judging by her negatives nationwide, she's not going to be able to pull off a stunt like she did in 1992 by going from strong, independent woman to cover girl for Good Housekeeping. People know who she is...and many people don't like her.

2) The Democrats will fight...themselves? You read that right. The Democrats are in a state of disarray right now, and not just because of the candidates running for President. The party is splintering for a number of reasons: ending the war, impeaching President Bush and Vice President Cheney, the direction of the country and the party, and so on. And when you have people whose egos are so invested in their politics as the modern left's are, that's going to lead to lost votes.

3) The likability factor. Look up and down the list of Democrat candidates and you'll find a nearly universal trait: they don't appeal to people. Aside from Barack Obama, the Democrats don't really have anyone that people like. Hillary? John Edwards? Too slick. Bill Richardson? Joe Biden? Not exciting enough. Mike Gravel? Too rocky sounding. And the rest of the candidates aren't much better. In politics, a likable candidate can beat a qualified candidate. That's what happened with Al Gore in 2000 and look how he turned out.

4) The blogosphere strikes back! Although the modern left is starting to come around to the power of the online community, it's still dominated by conservatives. That puts any Democrat running for office in a difficult position, as whenever they say or do something the bloggers may not agree with or like, up it goes. And with the blogosphere being the way it is, one story can have legs well beyond what a newspaper or TV news show might. Unless the Democrats can counteract the blogosphere, they're in big trouble.

5) They haven't shown they can lead yet. It's hard to find a leader these days, and within Democrat ranks, it's even more difficult. This is the devastating effect that Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid's failures will have on the 2008 election because they're the ones trying to man the fort while some of their big stars are out stumping for votes. With an approval rating anywhere from 11-24%, they need to show they're relevant in 2007 and 2008, and the only way to do that is to lead and let people see that leadership in action.

6) Overconfidence can lead to under-preparing. Since before Election 2006, Democrats have been predicting the GOP's downfall, and for once their predictions came true. Instead of looking at how they won, they started planning the victory party for 2008. Ah, but pride can cometh before a fall, as we saw with Hillary's recent MSNBC debate performance. If the Democrats arent' careful, they might be looking at a defeat snatched from the jaws of victory.

There may be other factors involved, but the point is the same. Democrats aren't nearly as strong as we're being lead to believe they are, and as long as Republicans are afraid to test this outh, we'll see more pieces like the one Armey wrote.


Anonymous said...


- Around 6:30 a.m. an IED exploded inside a house in Al Adhemiyah, a US military convoy was near the incident site closed the roads leading to it and investigated the incident, Iraqi police said.

- Around 7 a.m. A roadside bomb targeted civilians in Al Mansour neighborhood, injuring three civilians.

- Around 7:30 a.m. Three mortar shells slammed into Al Shaab neighborhood targeting a military base in the area.

- Around noon an IED detonated inside the car of an Iraqi army officer LC Salam Ismaeel as he was driving his car in Al Yarmouk neighborhood, Ismaeel was injured.

- An IED targeted an Iraqi army vehicle in New Baghdad yesterday, killing a 10 year old girl and causing damage to one army vehicle and one apartment.

- On Saturday afternoon a private security company shot at a white car that moved while the rest of the traffic had stopped to allow a seven-car convoy to pass. A guard shot at the driver and killed him with a bullet wound to the chest. He died from his wounds in the Kadhimiyah hospital. The U.S. Embassy said that both the Ministry of Interior and Dyncorps, believed to be involved in the incident, were investigating. The Ministry of Interior spokesman, Abdel Karim Khalaf, said they were still unsure if the Private Security Company was Dyncorps. He also said the man was unarmed.

- Police found 5 dead bodies throughout Baghdad. 1 in Sadr, 1 in Shaab, 1 in Mansour, 1 in Amil, 1 in Doura.


- Iraqi police said an American military convoy killed Khalaf Hussein and his wife Safra Ibraheem as he was approaching the convoy on a main road west of Kirkuk yesterday. The US military said the shooting was related to convoy operation adding that the Iraqi police fired from an outpost on a truck was coming against the traffic.

- A roadside bomb targeted a police patrol in southern Kirkuk yesterday, one policeman was killed.

- Around 9 a.m. a roadside bomb targeted Al Rashad town police chief in Al Rashad town west of Kirkuk, causing no damages or casualties.

- Around 11:30 a.m. an IED inside a garbage plastic bag exploded near a power plant causing no damages or casualties.

- A roadside bomb targeted a car of guards working for a local constructions company near south of Kirkuk yesterday, injuring five guards.


- Gunmen burned two houses in Al Zubair, 35 kilometers west of Basra, near a Sunni mosque yesterday. Iraqi police said the gunmen didn’t target the mosque but they were angry tribal men seeking for revenge from the owners as they accused them of killing a member of their tribe earlier that day.


- A roadside bomb targeted an Iraqi police vehicle in Tikrit, injuring one policeman

Anonymous said...

I want to thank anonymous for showing us that the terrorists in Iraq who are promulgating the murder and mayhem need to be brought to justice now more than ever, which is why it’s necessary that we continue to fight the good fight.

Thanks, anonymous.
Have a great day!